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BJ stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

BJ’s Wholesale Club, founded in 1984, operates a membership-based warehouse club model primarily along the US East Coast, with roughly 260 clubs and a growing domestic presence across 21 states... Show more

BJ
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 17, 2026

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) Stock Analysis: Membership Income and Club Expansion Anchor the Setup

Key Takeaways

  • BJ's Wholesale Club closed at $93.41 on August 14, 2026, up 3.5% from the July 15, 2026 close of $90.24 over the 30-day window.
  • Over the broader three-month period, the stock declined about 3.1% from $96.36 on May 15, 2026, reflecting a volatile quarter and a partial recovery.
  • The investment case remains centered on membership economics: roughly 260 clubs, a renewal rate near 90%, and higher-tier membership penetration around 42%.
  • The next major catalyst is the company's quarterly report scheduled for August 21, 2026, with consensus estimates at $1.16 in EPS and about $5.89 billion in revenue.
  • Analyst sentiment is broadly constructive, with a consensus Buy rating and an average 12-month price target near $102.60, roughly 9.8% above the latest close.

Current Market Snapshot

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings shares closed at $93.41 on August 14, 2026, giving the company a market capitalization of approximately $11.9 billion. The stock trades at roughly 21.5 times trailing earnings and sits within a 52-week range of $83.21 to $107.62. After climbing from the mid-$80s in June to a closing high of $99.99 on July 29, the stock pulled back in early August before stabilizing in the low-$90s. The 30-day move of +3.5% reflects measured trading rather than an outsized swing, while the three-month return of about -3.1% highlights the choppy path shares have taken despite generally defensive consumer-staples positioning.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) Business Overview and Competitive Position

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs concentrated in the eastern half of the United States, with roughly 260 locations across 21 states. The company offers groceries, fresh food, general merchandise, gasoline, and ancillary services through its clubs, the BJs.com website, and its mobile app. Groceries and consumables are the largest part of the mix, supported by private-label brands such as Wellsley Farms and Berkley Jensen. The business model leans on recurring membership fee income, a renewal rate near 90%, and rising higher-tier membership penetration. BJ's competes with larger warehouse retailers including Costco Wholesale (COST) and Walmart's Sam's Club (WMT), while differentiating itself through smaller pack sizes, a grocery-focused assortment, and a dense East Coast footprint.

Recent Developments Driving BJ

BJ's most recent quarterly report, released on May 22, 2026, showed earnings of $1.10 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.04, with revenue of $5.66 billion up 9.9% year over year. Management cited membership gains, strength in gasoline, digital engagement, and better-than-expected performance in Texas while maintaining full-year comparable-sales and EPS guidance. Those results helped support the stock's mid-summer advance.

Analyst activity has also been a factor. Gordon Haskett upgraded the stock to Buy with a $115 target in late July, while TD Cowen and Citi maintained Buy ratings in August. Deutsche Bank maintained a Hold rating and raised its target from $93 to $94. Meanwhile, disclosed insider selling occurred near the July peak: CEO Robert W. Eddy sold 73,016 shares at an average price of $100.02 under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Expansion announcements for new clubs in Kentucky, Florida, and Indiana, along with a partnership with the North Texas Food Bank, have kept the growth narrative in focus as investors look toward the August 21 earnings report.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Investors are likely to focus on BJ's August 21, 2026 earnings report, where comparable sales, membership fee growth, renewal rates, and higher-tier membership adoption will be closely watched alongside gasoline margins, digital engagement, and cost management. Expansion execution in newer markets such as Texas, Kentucky, Florida, and Indiana will also matter for the longer-term growth story. On the macro side, consumer spending trends, grocery inflation, and competitive pressure from Costco (COST) and Walmart (WMT) remain key swing factors. The consensus analyst target near $102.60 offers a constructive reference point, but individual targets range from $79 to $120, reflecting genuine disagreement about valuation and growth durability. As always, these factors are informational and do not constitute investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for BJ with price predictions
Aug 25, 2026

BJ's Stochastic Oscillator sits in overbought zone for 1 day

Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BJ moved out of overbought territory on July 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BJ turned negative on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BJ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 24, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BJ as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BJ moved above its 50-day moving average on August 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BJ advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 232 cases where BJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BJ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.482) is normal, around the industry mean (7.214). P/E Ratio (20.652) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.650). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.218) is also within normal values, averaging (2.813). BJ has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). BJ's P/S Ratio (0.538) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.066).

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 157.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 838.62B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 838.62B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. TGT experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while WMT experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 58% and the average quarterly volume growth was -7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 40
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 62
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a holding company of specialty stores

Industry DiscountStores

Profile
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
350 Campus Drive
Phone
+1 774 512-7400
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.bjs.com